Discounted Cash Flow

Apple Hospitality Reit, Inc. REIT

APLE · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.0b $144.7m $332.0m 13.9% $0.76
2017 $1.2b (19.0%) $182.5m (26.2%) $384.7m (15.9%) 14.7% (6.0%) $0.82 (7.9%)
2018 $1.3b (2.6%) $206.1m (12.9%) $404.8m (5.2%) 16.2% (10.1%) $0.90 (9.8%)
2019 $1.3b (-0.3%) $171.9m (-16.6%) $381.7m (-5.7%) 13.6% (-16.3%) $0.77 (-14.4%)
2020 $601.9m (-52.5%) $-173.2m (-200.8%) $26.7m (-93.0%) -28.8% (-312.0%) $-0.77 (-200.0%)
2021 $933.9m (55.2%) $18.8m (110.9%) $18.8m (-29.6%) 2.0% (107.0%) $0.08 (110.4%)
2022 $1.2b (32.6%) $144.8m (669.1%) $309.1m (1541.5%) 11.7% (480.0%) $0.63 (687.5%)
2023 $1.3b (8.5%) $177.5m (22.6%) $327.0m (5.8%) 13.2% (13.0%) $0.77 (22.2%)
2024 $1.4b (6.5%) $214.1m (20.6%) $325.0m (-0.6%) 15.0% (13.2%) $0.89 (15.6%)
2025 $1.4b (-1.3%) $175.4m (-18.1%) $282.8m (-13.0%) 12.4% (-17.0%) $0.74 (-16.9%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model