Discounted Cash Flow

Applovin Corp.

APP · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2019 $994.1m $119.0m $198.5m 12.0% $0.36
2020 $1.5b (46.0%) $-125.2m (-205.2%) $222.9m (12.3%) -8.6% (-172.0%) $-0.58 (-261.1%)
2021 $2.8b (92.5%) $35.4m (128.3%) $35.4m (-84.1%) 1.3% (114.7%) $0.10 (117.2%)
2022 $2.8b (0.9%) $-192.7m (-643.8%) $412.1m (1062.6%) -6.8% (-639.1%) $-0.52 (-620.0%)
2023 $3.3b (16.5%) $457.8m (337.5%) $997.6m (142.1%) 13.9% (303.8%) $1.26 (342.3%)
2024 $4.7b (43.4%) $1.6b (247.2%) $2.1b (107.8%) 33.8% (142.0%) $4.56 (261.9%)
2025 $5.5b (16.4%) $3.4b (116.0%) $3.9b (90.2%) 62.6% (85.6%) $10.04 (120.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model