Discounted Cash Flow
Antero Resources Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.7b | $-848.8m | $1.2b | -48.7% | $-2.88 |
| 2017 | $3.7b (109.5%) | $615.1m (172.5%) | $2.0b (61.6%) | 16.8% (134.6%) | — |
| 2018 | $4.1b (13.2%) | $-397.5m (-164.6%) | $2.1b (3.8%) | -9.6% (-157.1%) | $-1.26 |
| 2019 | $4.4b (6.5%) | $-340.1m (14.4%) | $-318.7m (-115.3%) | -7.7% (19.7%) | $-1.11 (11.9%) |
| 2020 | $3.5b (-20.8%) | $-1.3b (-272.8%) | $-138.7m (56.5%) | -36.3% (-370.7%) | $-4.65 (-318.9%) |
| 2021 | $4.6b (32.3%) | $-186.9m (85.3%) | $944.2m (780.7%) | -4.0% (88.9%) | $-0.61 (86.9%) |
| 2022 | $7.1b (54.5%) | $1.9b (1115.9%) | $2.1b (123.2%) | 26.6% (757.4%) | $6.18 (1113.1%) |
| 2023 | $4.7b (-34.4%) | $242.9m (-87.2%) | $827.2m (-60.7%) | 5.2% (-80.5%) | $0.81 (-86.9%) |
| 2024 | $4.3b (-7.6%) | $57.2m (-76.4%) | $57.2m (-93.1%) | 1.3% (-74.5%) | $0.18 (-77.8%) |
| 2025 | $5.3b (22.0%) | $634.4m (1008.6%) | $1.2b (2072.3%) | 12.0% (808.9%) | $2.05 (1038.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.