Discounted Cash Flow
Arcbest Corp. /De/
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.7b | $18.7m | $42.0m | 0.7% | $0.72 |
| 2017 | $2.8b (4.7%) | $59.7m (220.2%) | $86.1m (105.1%) | 2.1% (205.9%) | $2.32 (222.2%) |
| 2018 | $3.1b (9.5%) | $67.3m (12.6%) | $211.4m (145.4%) | 2.2% (2.9%) | $2.61 (12.5%) |
| 2019 | $3.0b (-3.4%) | $40.0m (-40.6%) | $79.4m (-62.4%) | 1.3% (-38.5%) | $1.56 (-40.2%) |
| 2020 | $2.9b (-1.6%) | $71.1m (77.8%) | $162.7m (104.9%) | 2.4% (80.7%) | $2.80 (79.5%) |
| 2021 | $4.0b (35.4%) | $213.5m (200.3%) | $265.1m (62.9%) | 5.4% (121.8%) | $8.38 (199.3%) |
| 2022 | $5.3b (33.8%) | $298.2m (39.7%) | $322.6m (21.7%) | 5.6% (4.4%) | $12.13 (44.7%) |
| 2023 | $4.4b (-16.8%) | $195.4m (-34.5%) | $103.1m (-68.0%) | 4.4% (-21.2%) | $8.14 (-32.9%) |
| 2024 | $4.2b (-5.6%) | $174.0m (-11.0%) | $62.7m (-39.2%) | 4.2% (-5.7%) | $7.39 (-9.2%) |
| 2025 | $4.0b (-4.0%) | $60.1m (-65.5%) | $114.2m (82.0%) | 1.5% (-64.0%) | $2.63 (-64.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.