Discounted Cash Flow
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. Foreign
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.9b | $78.8m | $71.9m | 2.7% | $0.37 |
| 2017 | $3.3b (13.3%) | $129.2m (63.9%) | $80.4m (11.8%) | 3.9% (44.6%) | $0.61 (64.9%) |
| 2018 | $3.1b (-7.2%) | $36.8m (-71.5%) | $-17.3m (-121.5%) | 1.2% (-69.3%) | $0.18 (-70.5%) |
| 2019 | $3.0b (-4.0%) | $79.9m (116.8%) | $-41.8m (-141.2%) | 2.7% (125.8%) | $0.39 (116.7%) |
| 2020 | $2.0b (-32.9%) | $-149.5m (-287.1%) | $-70.3m (-68.5%) | -7.5% (-379.0%) | $-0.73 (-287.2%) |
| 2021 | $2.7b (34.1%) | $45.5m (130.4%) | $143.0m (303.3%) | 1.7% (122.7%) | $0.22 (130.1%) |
| 2022 | $3.6b (36.1%) | $140.3m (208.5%) | $128.3m (-10.3%) | 3.9% (126.8%) | $0.67 (204.5%) |
| 2023 | $4.3b (19.7%) | $181.3m (29.2%) | $21.9m (-83.0%) | 4.2% (7.9%) | $0.86 (28.4%) |
| 2024 | $4.5b (3.2%) | $148.8m (-17.9%) | $-60.8m (-378.0%) | 3.3% (-20.5%) | $0.71 (-17.4%) |
| 2025 | $4.7b (4.7%) | $212.1m (42.6%) | $15.0m (124.7%) | 4.5% (36.2%) | $1.01 (42.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.