Discounted Cash Flow
Ardelyx, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $24.0m | $-112.4m | $-97.4m | -467.8% | — |
| 2017 | $42.0m (74.8%) | $-64.3m (42.8%) | $-67.5m (30.7%) | -153.2% (67.3%) | — |
| 2018 | $2.6m (-93.8%) | $-91.3m (-41.9%) | $-70.6m (-4.5%) | -3502.0% (-2186.1%) | — |
| 2019 | $5.3m (102.6%) | $-94.9m (-4.0%) | $-76.8m (-8.8%) | -1797.8% (48.7%) | — |
| 2020 | $7.6m (43.4%) | $-94.3m (0.7%) | $-81.8m (-6.4%) | -1245.7% (30.7%) | — |
| 2021 | $10.1m (33.4%) | $-158.2m (-67.7%) | $-154.4m (-88.9%) | -1566.5% (-25.7%) | $-1.52 |
| 2022 | $52.2m (416.6%) | $-67.2m (57.5%) | $-70.1m (54.6%) | -128.9% (91.8%) | $-0.42 (72.4%) |
| 2023 | $124.5m (138.6%) | $-66.1m (1.7%) | $-90.1m (-28.5%) | -53.1% (58.8%) | $-0.30 (28.6%) |
| 2024 | $333.6m (168.1%) | $-39.1m (40.8%) | $-45.8m (49.1%) | -11.7% (77.9%) | $-0.17 (43.3%) |
| 2025 | $407.3m (22.1%) | $-61.6m (-57.4%) | $-44.0m (4.0%) | -15.1% (-28.9%) | $-0.26 (-52.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.