Discounted Cash Flow
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. REIT
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $200.6m | $157.9m | $118.9m | 78.7% | — |
| 2017 | $260.5m (29.8%) | $193.0m (22.3%) | $154.9m (30.3%) | 74.1% (-5.8%) | — |
| 2018 | $289.3m (11.1%) | $220.0m (14.0%) | $266.0m (71.7%) | 76.0% (2.6%) | — |
| 2019 | $334.5m (15.6%) | $230.2m (4.6%) | $273.4m (2.8%) | 68.8% (-9.5%) | — |
| 2020 | $278.7m (-16.7%) | $18.4m (-92.0%) | $164.1m (-40.0%) | 6.6% (-90.4%) | — |
| 2021 | $265.6m (-4.7%) | $223.5m (1116.3%) | $199.4m (21.5%) | 84.2% (1176.2%) | — |
| 2022 | $241.6m (-9.0%) | $265.2m (18.7%) | $234.7m (17.7%) | 109.8% (30.5%) | — |
| 2023 | $252.2m (4.4%) | $58.6m (-77.9%) | $201.2m (-14.2%) | 23.2% (-78.8%) | — |
| 2024 | $199.0m (-21.1%) | $-119.2m (-303.6%) | $30.8m (-84.7%) | -59.9% (-358.0%) | — |
| 2025 | $166.7m (-16.2%) | $127.1m (206.5%) | $42.3m (37.6%) | 76.2% (227.2%) | — |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.