Discounted Cash Flow
Alliance Resource Partners L.P. LP
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—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.9b | $339.4m | $612.5m | 17.6% | — |
| 2017 | $1.8b (-7.0%) | $303.6m (-10.5%) | $411.0m (-32.9%) | 16.9% (-3.8%) | — |
| 2018 | $2.0b (11.5%) | $366.6m (20.7%) | $460.9m (12.1%) | 18.3% (8.3%) | — |
| 2019 | $2.0b (-2.1%) | $399.4m (8.9%) | $209.0m (-54.6%) | 20.4% (11.2%) | — |
| 2020 | $1.3b (-32.3%) | $-129.2m (-132.4%) | $279.5m (33.7%) | -9.7% (-147.8%) | — |
| 2021 | $1.6b (18.2%) | $178.2m (237.9%) | $302.2m (8.1%) | 11.3% (216.6%) | — |
| 2022 | $2.4b (53.3%) | $577.2m (224.0%) | $505.4m (67.2%) | 24.0% (111.4%) | — |
| 2023 | $2.6b (6.7%) | $630.1m (9.2%) | $451.3m (-10.7%) | 24.5% (2.4%) | — |
| 2024 | $2.4b (-4.6%) | $360.9m (-42.7%) | $374.4m (-17.0%) | 14.7% (-40.0%) | — |
| 2025 | $2.2b (-10.4%) | $311.2m (-13.8%) | $387.9m (3.6%) | 14.2% (-3.8%) | — |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.