Discounted Cash Flow
Arq, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $50.6m | $97.7m | $-18.5m | 193.0% | $4.40 |
| 2017 | $35.7m (-29.5%) | $27.9m (-71.5%) | $-12.2m (34.0%) | 78.1% (-59.5%) | $1.30 (-70.5%) |
| 2018 | $23.9m (-32.9%) | $35.5m (27.2%) | $-10.4m (15.3%) | 148.1% (89.6%) | $1.78 (36.9%) |
| 2019 | $70.1m (192.7%) | $35.5m (0.2%) | $62.3m (701.2%) | 50.7% (-65.8%) | $1.96 (10.1%) |
| 2020 | $61.6m (-12.1%) | $-20.3m (-157.1%) | $54.5m (-12.5%) | -33.0% (-165.0%) | $-1.12 (-157.1%) |
| 2021 | $100.3m (62.9%) | $60.4m (397.5%) | $26.0m (-52.3%) | 60.2% (282.7%) | $3.31 (395.5%) |
| 2022 | $103.0m (2.7%) | $-8.9m (-114.8%) | $-15.0m (-157.6%) | -8.7% (-114.4%) | $-0.48 (-114.5%) |
| 2023 | $99.2m (-3.7%) | $-12.2m (-37.4%) | $-16.7m (-11.2%) | -12.3% (-42.6%) | $-0.42 (12.5%) |
| 2024 | $109.0m (9.9%) | $-5.1m (58.3%) | $9.5m (156.9%) | -4.7% (62.0%) | $-0.14 (66.7%) |
| 2025 | $120.3m (10.4%) | $-52.6m (-929.8%) | $-2.7m (-128.8%) | -43.7% (-832.4%) | $-1.27 (-807.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.