Discounted Cash Flow
Armour Residential Reit, Inc. REIT
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | — | $-45.5m | $-203.4m | — | $-1.67 |
| 2017 | — | $181.2m (498.0%) | $110.1m (154.1%) | — | $4.22 (352.7%) |
| 2018 | — | $-106.0m (-158.5%) | $75.2m (-31.7%) | — | $-2.92 (-169.2%) |
| 2019 | — | $-249.9m (-135.8%) | $-11.0b (-14716.6%) | — | $-4.59 (-57.2%) |
| 2020 | — | $-215.1m (13.9%) | $-257.8m (97.7%) | — | $-3.57 (22.2%) |
| 2021 | — | $15.4m (107.1%) | $11.7m (104.6%) | — | $0.05 (101.4%) |
| 2022 | — | $-229.9m (-1596.6%) | $124.1m (957.1%) | — | $-2.05 (-4200.0%) |
| 2023 | — | $-67.9m (70.5%) | $132.8m (7.0%) | — | $-1.86 (9.3%) |
| 2024 | — | $-14.4m (78.8%) | $261.5m (96.9%) | — | $-0.51 (72.6%) |
| 2025 | — | $322.7m (2341.8%) | $124.2m (-52.5%) | — | $3.31 (749.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.