Discounted Cash Flow
Arrow Electronics, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $23.8b | $522.8m | $191.1m | 2.2% | $5.75 |
| 2017 | $26.8b (12.5%) | $402.0m (-23.1%) | $100.1m (-47.6%) | 1.5% (-31.7%) | $4.53 (-21.2%) |
| 2018 | $29.7b (10.7%) | $716.2m (78.2%) | $267.3m (166.9%) | 2.4% (61.0%) | $8.19 (80.8%) |
| 2019 | $28.9b (-2.6%) | $-204.1m (-128.5%) | $858.0m (221.0%) | -0.7% (-129.2%) | $-2.44 (-129.8%) |
| 2020 | $28.7b (-0.8%) | $584.4m (386.4%) | $1.4b (58.5%) | 2.0% (388.8%) | $7.49 (407.0%) |
| 2021 | $34.5b (20.2%) | $1.1b (89.6%) | $396.8m (-70.8%) | 3.2% (57.7%) | $15.29 (104.1%) |
| 2022 | $37.1b (7.7%) | $1.4b (28.8%) | $-33.1m (-108.3%) | 3.8% (19.6%) | $22.01 (44.0%) |
| 2023 | $33.1b (-10.8%) | $903.5m (-36.7%) | $705.4m (2232.7%) | 2.7% (-29.0%) | $16.03 (-27.2%) |
| 2024 | $27.9b (-15.7%) | $392.1m (-56.6%) | $1.1b (59.5%) | 1.4% (-48.5%) | $7.36 (-54.1%) |
| 2025 | $30.9b (10.5%) | $571.3m (45.7%) | $64.0m (-94.3%) | 1.9% (31.9%) | $11.03 (49.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.