Discounted Cash Flow
Ardmore Shipping Corp. Foreign
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $164.4m | $3.7m | $3.7m | 2.3% | $0.12 |
| 2017 | $195.9m (19.2%) | $-12.5m (-433.3%) | $18.4m (391.4%) | -6.4% (-379.6%) | $-0.37 (-408.3%) |
| 2018 | $210.2m (7.3%) | $-42.9m (-243.8%) | $9.4m (-48.8%) | -20.4% (-220.5%) | $-1.31 (-254.1%) |
| 2019 | $230.0m (9.5%) | $-22.9m (46.8%) | $20.5m (117.2%) | -9.9% (51.4%) | $-0.69 (47.3%) |
| 2020 | $220.1m (-4.3%) | $-6.0m (73.6%) | $46.1m (125.2%) | -2.7% (72.4%) | $-0.18 (73.9%) |
| 2021 | $192.5m (-12.5%) | $-36.8m (-509.2%) | $-2.9m (-106.3%) | -19.1% (-596.5%) | $-1.12 (-522.2%) |
| 2022 | $445.7m (131.6%) | $138.5m (475.9%) | $122.9m (4358.4%) | 31.1% (262.3%) | $3.63 (424.1%) |
| 2023 | $396.0m (-11.2%) | $116.8m (-15.6%) | $134.2m (9.2%) | 29.5% (-5.0%) | $2.76 (-24.0%) |
| 2024 | $405.8m (2.5%) | $133.0m (13.9%) | $99.4m (-25.9%) | 32.8% (11.1%) | $3.09 (12.0%) |
| 2025 | $310.2m (-23.6%) | $41.0m (-69.2%) | $-39.1m (-139.3%) | 13.2% (-59.7%) | $0.89 (-71.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.