Discounted Cash Flow
Advansix Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.2b | $34.1m | $29.7m | 2.9% | $1.12 |
| 2017 | $1.5b (23.8%) | $146.7m (329.6%) | $48.2m (62.0%) | 9.9% (247.0%) | $4.81 (329.5%) |
| 2018 | $1.5b (2.7%) | $66.2m (-54.8%) | $64.2m (33.2%) | 4.4% (-56.0%) | $2.20 (-54.3%) |
| 2019 | $1.3b (-14.4%) | $41.3m (-37.6%) | $-29.9m (-146.7%) | 3.2% (-27.1%) | $1.47 (-33.2%) |
| 2020 | $1.2b (-10.8%) | $46.1m (11.4%) | $28.9m (196.6%) | 4.0% (24.9%) | $1.64 (11.6%) |
| 2021 | $1.7b (45.5%) | $139.8m (203.4%) | $162.0m (460.1%) | 8.3% (108.5%) | $4.97 (203.0%) |
| 2022 | $1.9b (15.5%) | $171.9m (23.0%) | $184.2m (13.6%) | 8.8% (6.5%) | $6.15 (23.7%) |
| 2023 | $1.5b (-21.2%) | $54.6m (-68.2%) | $10.2m (-94.5%) | 3.6% (-59.7%) | $2.00 (-67.5%) |
| 2024 | $1.5b (-1.0%) | $44.1m (-19.2%) | $1.7m (-83.4%) | 2.9% (-18.3%) | $1.65 (-17.5%) |
| 2025 | $1.5b (0.3%) | $49.3m (11.6%) | $6.4m (279.5%) | 3.2% (11.3%) | $1.83 (10.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.