Discounted Cash Flow
Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | $4.8b | $21.4m | $90.6m | 0.4% | $0.30 |
| 2020 | $4.8b (1.0%) | $120.0m (459.8%) | $200.9m (121.7%) | 2.5% (454.5%) | $1.66 (459.5%) |
| 2021 | $5.7b (17.8%) | $308.8m (157.2%) | $970.3m (383.1%) | 5.4% (118.4%) | $3.96 (139.0%) |
| 2022 | $6.8b (19.1%) | $671.4m (117.4%) | $597.5m (-38.4%) | 9.9% (82.6%) | $7.38 (86.5%) |
| 2023 | $6.4b (-5.6%) | $628.0m (-6.5%) | $443.7m (-25.7%) | 9.8% (-0.9%) | $7.70 (4.3%) |
| 2024 | $6.2b (-3.7%) | $519.2m (-17.3%) | $328.0m (-26.1%) | 8.4% (-14.2%) | $6.89 (-10.5%) |
| 2025 | $5.9b (-3.7%) | $418.4m (-19.4%) | $328.5m (0.1%) | 7.1% (-16.3%) | $5.87 (-14.8%) |
| 2026 | $6.1b (2.0%) | $376.8m (-10.0%) | $222.1m (-32.4%) | 6.2% (-11.7%) | $5.66 (-3.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.