Discounted Cash Flow
Aspen Aerogels Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $117.7m | $-12.0m | $-13.8m | -10.2% | $-0.52 |
| 2017 | $111.6m (-5.2%) | $-19.3m (-60.7%) | $-10.7m (22.3%) | -17.3% (-69.5%) | $-0.83 (-59.6%) |
| 2018 | $104.4m (-6.5%) | $-34.4m (-78.3%) | $-12.2m (-14.2%) | -33.0% (-90.7%) | $-1.45 (-74.7%) |
| 2019 | $139.4m (33.6%) | $-14.6m (57.7%) | $-3.2m (74.1%) | -10.5% (68.3%) | $-0.60 (58.6%) |
| 2020 | $100.3m (-28.1%) | $-21.8m (-49.7%) | $-13.3m (-321.4%) | -21.7% (-108.1%) | $-0.83 (-38.3%) |
| 2021 | $121.6m (21.3%) | $-37.1m (-70.1%) | $-32.4m (-142.9%) | -30.5% (-40.2%) | $-1.22 (-47.0%) |
| 2022 | $180.4m (48.3%) | $-82.7m (-123.0%) | $-272.4m (-740.5%) | -45.9% (-50.4%) | $-2.10 (-72.1%) |
| 2023 | $238.7m (32.4%) | $-45.8m (44.6%) | $-218.1m (19.9%) | -19.2% (58.2%) | $-0.66 (68.6%) |
| 2024 | $452.7m (89.6%) | $13.4m (129.2%) | $-40.7m (81.3%) | 3.0% (115.4%) | $0.17 (125.8%) |
| 2025 | $271.1m (-40.1%) | $-389.6m (-3012.5%) | $-4.6m (88.8%) | -143.7% (-4963.5%) | $-4.73 (-2882.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.