Discounted Cash Flow
Autohome Inc. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $858.7m | $26.3m | $32.9m | 3.1% | $1.55 |
| 2017 | $954.5m (11.2%) | $45.7m (73.9%) | $54.5m (65.7%) | 4.8% (56.5%) | $2.64 (70.3%) |
| 2018 | $1.1b (10.2%) | $62.0m (35.7%) | $64.7m (18.9%) | 5.9% (23.1%) | $3.55 (34.5%) |
| 2019 | $1.2b (15.0%) | $68.2m (10.1%) | $57.3m (-11.5%) | 5.6% (-4.3%) | $3.88 (9.3%) |
| 2020 | $1.3b (9.7%) | $77.5m (13.5%) | $69.7m (21.7%) | 5.8% (3.5%) | $1.09 (-71.9%) |
| 2021 | $1.1b (-14.4%) | $52.4m (-32.4%) | $77.0m (10.5%) | 4.6% (-21.0%) | $0.67 (-38.5%) |
| 2022 | $1.0b (-11.4%) | $39.9m (-23.8%) | $378.3m (391.3%) | 4.0% (-14.0%) | $0.52 (-22.4%) |
| 2023 | $7.2b (613.9%) | $40.5m (1.3%) | $362.3m (-4.2%) | 0.6% (-85.8%) | $0.54 (3.8%) |
| 2024 | $7.0b (-2.0%) | $34.2m (-15.5%) | $201.0m (-44.5%) | 0.5% (-13.8%) | $0.46 (-14.8%) |
| 2025 | $6.5b (-8.3%) | $30.6m (-10.4%) | $129.6m (-35.6%) | 0.5% (-2.3%) | $0.42 (-8.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.