Discounted Cash Flow
Atmos Energy Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $3.3b | $350.1m | $-292.0m | 10.5% | $3.38 |
| 2017 | $2.8b (-17.6%) | $396.4m (13.2%) | $-270.0m (7.5%) | 14.4% (37.4%) | $3.73 (10.4%) |
| 2018 | $3.1b (12.9%) | $603.1m (52.1%) | $-342.9m (-27.0%) | 19.4% (34.8%) | $5.43 (45.6%) |
| 2019 | $2.9b (-6.9%) | $511.4m (-15.2%) | $-724.7m (-111.3%) | 17.6% (-9.0%) | $4.36 (-19.7%) |
| 2020 | $2.8b (-2.8%) | $601.4m (17.6%) | $-897.7m (-23.9%) | 21.3% (21.0%) | $4.89 (12.2%) |
| 2021 | $3.4b (20.8%) | $665.6m (10.7%) | $-1.1b (-26.3%) | 19.5% (-8.4%) | $5.12 (4.7%) |
| 2022 | $4.2b (23.3%) | $774.4m (16.4%) | $949.3m (183.7%) | 18.4% (-5.6%) | $5.61 (9.6%) |
| 2023 | $4.3b (1.8%) | $885.9m (14.4%) | $3.4b (259.5%) | 20.7% (12.4%) | $6.10 (8.7%) |
| 2024 | $4.2b (-2.6%) | $1.0b (17.7%) | $1.7b (-49.8%) | 25.0% (20.8%) | $6.83 (12.0%) |
| 2025 | $4.7b (12.9%) | $1.2b (14.9%) | $2.0b (17.6%) | 25.5% (1.8%) | $7.54 (10.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.