Discounted Cash Flow

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp.

AUB · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $77.5m $93.8m $1.77
2017 $72.9m (-5.9%) $110.3m (17.6%) $1.67 (-5.6%)
2018 $146.2m (100.6%) $216.8m (96.5%) $2.22 (32.9%)
2019 $193.5m (32.3%) $194.8m (-10.1%) $2.41 (8.6%)
2020 $158.2m (-18.2%) $231.9m (19.1%) $1.93 (-19.9%)
2021 $263.9m (66.8%) $337.8m (45.6%) $3.26 (68.9%)
2022 $234.5m (-11.1%) $416.8m (23.4%) $2.97 (-8.9%)
2023 $201.8m (-13.9%) $272.9m (-34.5%) $2.53 (-14.8%)
2024 $209.1m (3.6%) $301.1m (10.3%) $2.29 (-9.5%)
2025 $273.7m (30.9%) $2.2b (639.0%) $2.03 (-11.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model