Discounted Cash Flow
Aerovironment Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $264.9m | $12.5m | $-20.4m | 4.7% | $0.54 |
| 2018 | $271.1m (2.3%) | $20.1m (60.8%) | $60.9m (399.0%) | 7.4% (57.1%) | $0.86 (59.3%) |
| 2019 | $314.3m (15.9%) | $47.4m (136.4%) | $18.1m (-70.3%) | 15.1% (103.9%) | $2.00 (132.6%) |
| 2020 | $367.3m (16.9%) | $41.1m (-13.4%) | $13.9m (-23.1%) | 11.2% (-25.9%) | $1.73 (-13.5%) |
| 2021 | $394.9m (7.5%) | $42.8m (4.1%) | $86.5m (523.6%) | 10.8% (-3.1%) | $0.97 (-43.9%) |
| 2022 | $445.7m (12.9%) | $-4.2m (-109.8%) | $-31.9m (-136.9%) | -0.9% (-108.7%) | $-0.17 (-117.5%) |
| 2023 | $540.5m (21.3%) | $-176.2m (-4107.5%) | $-3.5m (89.1%) | -32.6% (-3369.6%) | $-7.04 (-4041.2%) |
| 2024 | $716.7m (32.6%) | $59.7m (133.9%) | $-7.7m (-121.8%) | 8.3% (125.5%) | $2.19 (131.1%) |
| 2025 | $820.6m (14.5%) | $43.6m (-26.9%) | $-24.1m (-213.8%) | 5.3% (-36.2%) | $1.56 (-28.8%) |
| 2026 | $2.0b (140.9%) | $-265.1m (-707.8%) | $-140.9m (-484.0%) | -13.4% (-352.3%) | $-5.40 (-446.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.