Discounted Cash Flow
American Vanguard Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $312.1m | $12.8m | $46.4m | 4.1% | $0.44 |
| 2017 | $355.0m (13.8%) | $20.3m (58.5%) | $59.0m (27.1%) | 5.7% (39.4%) | $0.70 (59.1%) |
| 2018 | $454.3m (27.9%) | $24.2m (19.3%) | $11.3m (-80.8%) | 5.3% (-6.7%) | $0.83 (18.6%) |
| 2019 | $468.2m (3.1%) | $13.6m (-43.8%) | $9.4m (-17.1%) | 2.9% (-45.5%) | $0.47 (-43.4%) |
| 2020 | $458.7m (-2.0%) | $15.2m (12.1%) | $89.2m (848.6%) | 3.3% (14.4%) | $0.52 (10.6%) |
| 2021 | $556.9m (21.4%) | $18.6m (21.9%) | $86.4m (-3.2%) | 3.3% (0.4%) | $0.62 (19.2%) |
| 2022 | $609.6m (9.5%) | $27.4m (47.4%) | $42.6m (-50.7%) | 4.5% (34.7%) | $0.94 (51.6%) |
| 2023 | $579.4m (-5.0%) | $7.5m (-72.6%) | $-70.8m (-266.4%) | 1.3% (-71.1%) | $0.27 (-71.3%) |
| 2024 | $547.3m (-5.5%) | $-126.3m (-1780.3%) | $-3.8m (94.7%) | -23.1% (-1878.7%) | $-4.50 (-1766.7%) |
| 2025 | $515.1m (-5.9%) | $-49.9m (60.5%) | $-25.3m (-571.3%) | -9.7% (58.1%) | $-1.75 (61.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.