Discounted Cash Flow
Armstrong World Industries Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.2b | $104.7m | $49.3m | 8.5% | $1.88 |
| 2017 | $893.6m (-27.6%) | $154.8m (47.9%) | $170.4m (245.6%) | 17.3% (104.3%) | $2.89 (53.7%) |
| 2018 | $975.3m (9.1%) | $185.9m (20.1%) | $203.2m (19.2%) | 19.1% (10.0%) | $3.61 (24.9%) |
| 2019 | $1.0b (6.4%) | $214.5m (15.4%) | $182.7m (-10.1%) | 20.7% (8.4%) | $4.40 (21.9%) |
| 2020 | $936.9m (-9.7%) | $-99.1m (-146.2%) | $218.8m (19.8%) | -10.6% (-151.2%) | $-2.07 (-147.0%) |
| 2021 | $1.1b (18.1%) | $183.2m (284.9%) | $187.2m (-14.4%) | 16.6% (256.5%) | $3.84 (285.5%) |
| 2022 | $1.2b (11.4%) | $202.9m (10.8%) | $107.6m (-42.5%) | 16.5% (-0.6%) | $4.38 (14.1%) |
| 2023 | $1.3b (5.0%) | $223.8m (10.3%) | $149.7m (39.1%) | 17.3% (5.0%) | $5.00 (14.2%) |
| 2024 | $1.4b (11.6%) | $264.9m (18.4%) | $184.0m (22.9%) | 18.3% (6.0%) | $6.06 (21.2%) |
| 2025 | $1.6b (12.1%) | $308.7m (16.5%) | $246.1m (33.8%) | 19.0% (3.9%) | $7.13 (17.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.