Discounted Cash Flow
American Water Works Company, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $-325.0m | $468.0m | $-35.0m | -144.0% | $2.63 |
| 2017 | $-342.0m (-5.2%) | $426.0m (-9.0%) | $15.0m (142.9%) | -124.6% (13.5%) | $2.39 (-9.1%) |
| 2018 | $3.4b (1099.1%) | $567.0m (33.1%) | $-200.0m (-1433.3%) | 16.6% (113.3%) | $3.16 (32.2%) |
| 2019 | $3.6b (5.0%) | $621.0m (9.5%) | $-271.0m (-35.5%) | 17.3% (4.3%) | $3.44 (8.9%) |
| 2020 | $3.7b (4.3%) | $709.0m (14.2%) | $-396.0m (-46.1%) | 18.9% (9.4%) | $3.91 (13.7%) |
| 2021 | $3.9b (4.6%) | $1.3b (78.1%) | $-323.0m (18.4%) | 32.3% (70.4%) | $6.96 (78.0%) |
| 2022 | $3.8b (-3.9%) | $820.0m (-35.1%) | $-1.2b (-268.1%) | 21.8% (-32.5%) | $4.51 (-35.2%) |
| 2023 | $4.2b (12.1%) | $944.0m (15.1%) | $-701.0m (41.0%) | 22.4% (2.7%) | $4.90 (8.6%) |
| 2024 | $4.7b (10.3%) | $1.1b (11.3%) | $-811.0m (-15.7%) | 22.6% (0.9%) | $5.39 (10.0%) |
| 2025 | $5.1b (10.1%) | $1.1b (5.7%) | $-1.1b (-31.6%) | 21.7% (-4.0%) | $5.69 (5.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.