Discounted Cash Flow
American States Water Co.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $436.1m | $59.7m | $-32.9m | 13.7% | $1.63 |
| 2017 | $440.6m (1.0%) | $69.4m (16.1%) | $31.4m (195.5%) | 15.7% (14.9%) | $1.88 (15.3%) |
| 2018 | $436.8m (-0.9%) | $63.9m (-7.9%) | $10.2m (-67.5%) | 14.6% (-7.1%) | $1.73 (-8.0%) |
| 2019 | $473.9m (8.5%) | $84.3m (32.1%) | $-35.1m (-443.4%) | 17.8% (21.7%) | $2.28 (31.8%) |
| 2020 | $488.2m (3.0%) | $86.4m (2.5%) | $-8.3m (76.5%) | 17.7% (-0.5%) | $2.34 (2.6%) |
| 2021 | $498.9m (2.2%) | $94.3m (9.2%) | $-28.9m (-250.6%) | 18.9% (6.8%) | $2.55 (9.0%) |
| 2022 | $491.5m (-1.5%) | $78.4m (-16.9%) | $-48.4m (-67.4%) | 15.9% (-15.7%) | $2.12 (-16.9%) |
| 2023 | $595.7m (21.2%) | $124.9m (59.3%) | $-120.9m (-149.5%) | 21.0% (31.5%) | $3.37 (59.0%) |
| 2024 | $595.5m (-0.0%) | $119.3m (-4.5%) | $-33.2m (72.5%) | 20.0% (-4.5%) | $3.17 (-5.9%) |
| 2025 | $658.1m (10.5%) | $130.4m (9.4%) | $-7.1m (78.7%) | 19.8% (-1.0%) | $3.37 (6.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.