Discounted Cash Flow
Axogen, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $41.1m | $-14.4m | $-12.2m | -35.1% | $-0.47 |
| 2017 | $60.4m (47.0%) | $-10.4m (27.5%) | $-10.3m (15.2%) | -17.3% (50.7%) | $-0.31 (34.0%) |
| 2018 | $83.9m (38.9%) | $-22.4m (-114.4%) | $-24.1m (-133.4%) | -26.7% (-54.4%) | $-0.60 (-93.5%) |
| 2019 | $106.7m (27.1%) | $-29.1m (-30.1%) | $-24.5m (-1.6%) | -27.3% (-2.3%) | $-0.74 (-23.3%) |
| 2020 | $112.3m (5.2%) | $-23.8m (18.4%) | $-31.5m (-28.5%) | -21.2% (22.4%) | $-0.60 (18.9%) |
| 2021 | $127.4m (13.4%) | $-27.0m (-13.4%) | $-41.2m (-30.7%) | -21.2% (-0.0%) | $-0.65 (-8.3%) |
| 2022 | $138.6m (8.8%) | $-28.9m (-7.3%) | $-36.1m (12.3%) | -20.9% (1.4%) | $-0.69 (-6.2%) |
| 2023 | $159.0m (14.7%) | $-21.7m (25.0%) | $-19.6m (45.8%) | -13.7% (34.6%) | $-0.51 (26.1%) |
| 2024 | $187.3m (17.8%) | $-10.0m (54.1%) | $1.4m (107.3%) | -5.3% (61.1%) | $-0.23 (54.9%) |
| 2025 | $225.2m (20.2%) | $-15.7m (-57.6%) | $-2.9m (-304.5%) | -7.0% (-31.1%) | $-0.34 (-47.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.