Discounted Cash Flow

Axsome Therapeutics, Inc.

AXSM · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

DCF estimate unavailable — No positive free cash flow in recent history — company has not generated positive FCF

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $-27.2m $-21.4m $-1.42
2017 $-28.9m (-6.4%) $-26.5m (-23.8%) $-1.27 (10.6%)
2018 $-31.0m (-7.0%) $-30.1m (-13.6%) $-1.15 (9.4%)
2019 $-68.3m (-120.7%) $-46.4m (-54.2%) $-2.01 (-74.8%)
2020 $-102.9m (-50.6%) $-78.5m (-69.2%) $-2.77 (-37.8%)
2021 $-130.4m (-26.7%) $-108.5m (-38.3%) $-3.47 (-25.3%)
2022 $50.0m $-187.1m (-43.5%) $-117.2m (-8.0%) -374.0% $-4.60 (-32.6%)
2023 $270.6m (440.8%) $-239.2m (-27.8%) $-145.7m (-24.3%) -88.4% (76.4%) $-5.27 (-14.6%)
2024 $385.7m (42.5%) $-287.2m (-20.1%) $-128.7m (11.7%) -74.5% (15.8%) $-5.99 (-13.7%)
2025 $638.5m (65.5%) $-183.2m (36.2%) $-93.9m (27.0%) -28.7% (61.5%) $-3.68 (38.6%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model

No positive free cash flow in recent history — company has not generated positive FCF

Once the company meets all DCF eligibility criteria (sufficient history, profitability, growth trends), an estimate will become available automatically. No action is needed.