Discounted Cash Flow
Autozone Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $10.6b | $1.2b | $1.1b | 11.7% | $41.52 |
| 2017 | $10.9b (2.4%) | $1.3b (3.2%) | $1.0b (-6.6%) | 11.8% (0.8%) | $45.05 (8.5%) |
| 2018 | $11.2b (3.1%) | $1.3b (4.4%) | $1.6b (53.3%) | 11.9% (1.3%) | $49.59 (10.1%) |
| 2019 | $11.9b (5.7%) | $1.6b (20.9%) | $1.6b (4.7%) | 13.6% (14.4%) | $64.78 (30.6%) |
| 2020 | $12.6b (6.5%) | $1.7b (7.2%) | $2.3b (38.6%) | 13.7% (0.6%) | $73.62 (13.6%) |
| 2021 | $14.6b (15.8%) | $2.2b (25.2%) | $2.9b (28.0%) | 14.8% (8.1%) | $97.60 (32.6%) |
| 2022 | $16.3b (11.1%) | $2.4b (11.9%) | $2.5b (-12.4%) | 14.9% (0.8%) | $120.83 (23.8%) |
| 2023 | $17.5b (7.4%) | $2.5b (4.1%) | $2.1b (-15.5%) | 14.5% (-3.1%) | $136.60 (13.1%) |
| 2024 | $18.5b (5.9%) | $2.7b (5.3%) | $1.9b (-9.9%) | 14.4% (-0.6%) | $153.82 (12.6%) |
| 2025 | $18.9b (2.4%) | $2.5b (-6.2%) | $1.8b (-7.3%) | 13.2% (-8.4%) | $148.80 (-3.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.