Discounted Cash Flow

Build-a-bear Workshop Inc.

BBW · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $377.7m $27.3m 7.2% $1.61
2017 $357.9m (-5.2%) $7.9m (-71.1%) $3.3m 2.2% (-69.4%) $0.50 (-68.9%)
2019 $336.6m (-5.9%) $-17.9m (-326.5%) $-1.6m (-147.2%) -5.3% (-340.9%) $-1.23 (-346.0%)
2020 $338.5m (0.6%) $261.0k (101.5%) $9.2m (687.6%) 0.1% (101.4%) $0.02 (101.6%)
2021 $255.3m (-24.6%) $-23.0m (-8905.7%) $8.3m (-9.6%) -9.0% (-11776.5%) $-1.54 (-7800.0%)
2022 $411.5m (61.2%) $47.3m (305.7%) $19.9m (139.2%) 11.5% (227.6%) $3.06 (298.7%)
2023 $467.9m (13.7%) $48.0m (1.5%) $33.6m (68.7%) 10.3% (-10.7%) $3.21 (4.9%)
2024 $486.1m (3.9%) $52.8m (10.0%) $46.0m (36.8%) 10.9% (5.9%) $3.68 (14.6%)
2025 $496.4m (2.1%) $51.8m (-1.9%) $27.8m (-39.7%) 10.4% (-4.0%) $3.81 (3.5%)
2026 $529.8m (6.7%) $52.2m (0.8%) $39.5m (42.3%) 9.9% (-5.6%) $4.00 (5.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model