Discounted Cash Flow
Saul Centers, Inc. REIT
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $217.1m | $45.3m | $-2.0m | 20.9% | $1.53 |
| 2017 | $227.2m (4.7%) | $48.3m (6.6%) | $-16.5m (-746.2%) | 21.2% (1.8%) | $1.64 (7.2%) |
| 2018 | $227.2m (0.0%) | $50.6m (4.8%) | $-18.3m (-10.7%) | 22.2% (4.8%) | $1.61 (-1.8%) |
| 2019 | $231.5m (1.9%) | $51.7m (2.3%) | $-20.3m (-10.8%) | 22.3% (0.4%) | $1.58 (-1.9%) |
| 2020 | $225.2m (-2.7%) | $40.4m (-21.9%) | $22.2m (209.5%) | 17.9% (-19.7%) | $1.25 (-20.9%) |
| 2021 | $239.2m (6.2%) | $48.4m (19.8%) | $62.5m (181.4%) | 20.2% (12.8%) | $1.57 (25.6%) |
| 2022 | $245.9m (2.8%) | $39.0m (-19.4%) | $4.3m (-93.2%) | 15.9% (-21.6%) | $1.63 (3.8%) |
| 2023 | $257.2m (4.6%) | $52.7m (35.1%) | $117.7m (2661.6%) | 20.5% (29.1%) | $1.73 (6.1%) |
| 2024 | $268.8m (4.5%) | $50.6m (-3.9%) | $121.2m (3.0%) | 18.8% (-8.0%) | $1.64 (-5.2%) |
| 2025 | $289.8m (7.8%) | $26.3m (-48.0%) | $99.8m (-17.7%) | 9.1% (-51.8%) | $1.09 (-33.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.