Discounted Cash Flow

BGC Group, Inc.

BGC · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $2.6b $102.5m $-76.6m 3.9% $0.37
2017 $3.4b (28.4%) $51.5m (-49.8%) $51.5m (167.2%) 1.5% (-60.9%) $0.18 (-51.4%)
2018 $1.6b (-52.3%) $197.5m (283.7%) $-91.9m (-278.5%) 12.3% (704.4%) $0.60 (233.3%)
2019 $1.8b (10.1%) $55.7m (-71.8%) $192.4m (309.4%) 3.2% (-74.4%) $0.16 (-73.3%)
2020 $1.7b (-4.0%) $48.9m (-12.2%) $110.7m (-42.5%) 2.9% (-8.5%) $0.14 (-12.5%)
2021 $1.7b (-1.6%) $124.0m (153.6%) $407.1m (267.7%) 7.5% (157.6%) $0.33 (135.7%)
2022 $1.4b (-15.4%) $48.7m (-60.7%) $213.8m (-47.5%) 3.5% (-53.5%) $0.13 (-60.6%)
2023 $1.6b (14.3%) $38.8k (-99.9%) $390.3m (82.6%) 0.0% (-99.9%) $0.08 (-38.5%)
2024 $1.8b (12.8%) $123.2m (317702.7%) $285.7m (-26.8%) 6.8% (281719.5%) $0.26 (225.0%)
2025 $2.4b (34.7%) $155.0m (25.8%) $372.9m (30.5%) 6.3% (-6.7%) $0.31 (19.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model