Discounted Cash Flow
BHP Group Ltd. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $28.6b | $-6.4b | $233.0m | -22.4% | $-1.07 |
| 2017 | $36.1b (26.5%) | $5.9b (192.2%) | $417.0m (79.0%) | 16.3% (172.9%) | $0.99 (192.2%) |
| 2018 | $43.6b (20.8%) | $3.7b (-37.1%) | $308.0m (-26.1%) | 8.5% (-47.9%) | $0.62 (-37.1%) |
| 2019 | $44.3b (1.5%) | $8.3b (124.2%) | $252.0m (-18.2%) | 18.8% (120.9%) | $1.43 (130.3%) |
| 2020 | $42.9b (-3.1%) | $8.0b (-4.2%) | $23.0m (-90.9%) | 18.5% (-1.2%) | $1.40 (-1.9%) |
| 2021 | $60.8b (41.7%) | $11.3b (42.1%) | $-2.2b (-9687.0%) | 18.6% (0.3%) | $1.99 (42.1%) |
| 2022 | $65.1b (7.0%) | $30.9b (173.4%) | $-316.0m (85.7%) | 47.5% (155.4%) | $6.11 (206.3%) |
| 2023 | $53.8b (-17.3%) | $12.9b (-58.2%) | $219.0m (169.3%) | 24.0% (-49.4%) | $2.55 (-58.2%) |
| 2024 | $55.7b (3.4%) | $7.9b (-38.9%) | $-3.5b (-1694.1%) | 14.2% (-40.9%) | $1.56 (-38.9%) |
| 2025 | $51.3b (-7.9%) | $9.0b (14.2%) | $238.0m (106.8%) | 17.6% (24.0%) | $1.78 (14.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.