Discounted Cash Flow
Baidu, Inc. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $10.2b | $248.0m | $248.0m | 2.4% | — |
| 2017 | $13.0b (28.3%) | $416.2m (67.8%) | $416.2m (67.8%) | 3.2% (30.8%) | — |
| 2018 | $14.9b (14.1%) | $593.5m (42.6%) | $5.1b (1133.7%) | 4.0% (24.9%) | — |
| 2019 | $15.4b (3.7%) | $43.8m (-92.6%) | $43.8m (-99.1%) | 0.3% (-92.9%) | — |
| 2020 | $16.4b (6.4%) | $509.7m (1063.5%) | $3.5b (7812.5%) | 3.1% (994.0%) | — |
| 2021 | $19.5b (19.0%) | $237.5m (-53.4%) | $237.5m (-93.1%) | 1.2% (-60.9%) | — |
| 2022 | $17.9b (-8.2%) | $162.2m (-31.7%) | $162.2m (-31.7%) | 0.9% (-25.6%) | — |
| 2023 | $19.0b (5.7%) | $423.4m (161.0%) | $423.4m (161.0%) | 2.2% (146.9%) | — |
| 2024 | $18.2b (-3.8%) | $481.7m (13.8%) | $3.0b (603.3%) | 2.6% (18.3%) | — |
| 2025 | $18.5b (1.2%) | $118.2m (-75.5%) | $-701.3m (-123.6%) | 0.6% (-75.7%) | — |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.