Discounted Cash Flow
Bilibili Inc. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $2.5b | $-84.9m | $47.5m | -3.4% | $-8.17 |
| 2018 | $600.5m (-75.7%) | $-13.3m (84.3%) | $103.1m (117.3%) | -2.2% (35.5%) | $-0.38 (95.3%) |
| 2019 | $973.6m (62.1%) | $-27.5m (-106.5%) | $22.6m (-78.1%) | -2.8% (-27.4%) | $-0.57 (-50.0%) |
| 2020 | $1.8b (88.9%) | $-68.5m (-149.3%) | $98.1m (334.7%) | -3.7% (-32.0%) | $-1.33 (-133.3%) |
| 2021 | $3.0b (65.4%) | $-158.2m (-130.8%) | $-415.5m (-523.5%) | -5.2% (-39.5%) | $-2.80 (-110.5%) |
| 2022 | $3.2b (4.4%) | $-1.1b (-604.7%) | $-597.1m (-43.7%) | -35.1% (-575.1%) | $-2.75 (1.8%) |
| 2023 | $3.2b (-0.1%) | $-714.4m (35.9%) | $35.8m (106.0%) | -22.5% (35.9%) | $-1.64 (40.4%) |
| 2024 | $3.7b (15.8%) | $-202.5m (71.7%) | $883.5m (2369.3%) | -5.5% (75.5%) | $-0.44 (73.2%) |
| 2025 | $4.3b (18.1%) | $176.8m (187.3%) | $1.1b (18.9%) | 4.1% (174.0%) | $0.41 (193.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.