Discounted Cash Flow
Bjs Restaurants Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | — | $45.6m | $-108.0m | — | $1.91 |
| 2017 | $1.0b | $44.8m (-1.7%) | $67.6m (162.6%) | 4.3% | $2.10 (9.9%) |
| 2018 | $1.1b (8.3%) | $50.8m (13.5%) | $36.3m (-46.3%) | 4.5% (4.8%) | $2.42 (15.2%) |
| 2019 | $1.1b (0.0%) | $50.8m (0.0%) | $33.8m (-6.8%) | 4.5% (0.0%) | $2.42 (0.0%) |
| 2020 | $778.5m (-30.3%) | $-57.9m (-213.9%) | $-2.8m (-108.2%) | -7.4% (-263.5%) | $-2.74 (-213.2%) |
| 2021 | $1.1b (39.6%) | $-3.6m (93.8%) | $22.1m (893.7%) | -0.3% (95.5%) | $-0.16 (94.2%) |
| 2022 | $1.3b (18.1%) | $4.1m (213.0%) | $-27.5m (-224.4%) | 0.3% (195.7%) | $0.17 (206.2%) |
| 2023 | $1.3b (3.8%) | $19.7m (382.3%) | $6.9m (125.2%) | 1.5% (364.5%) | $0.84 (394.1%) |
| 2024 | $1.3b (0.0%) | $19.7m (0.0%) | $2.6m (-63.1%) | 1.5% (0.0%) | $0.84 (0.0%) |
| 2025 | $1.4b (4.9%) | $48.8m (148.3%) | $40.9m (1499.0%) | 3.5% (136.6%) | $2.22 (164.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.