Discounted Cash Flow
Brookdale Senior Living Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $5.0b | $-404.4m | $32.1m | -8.1% | $-2.18 |
| 2017 | $4.7b (-4.6%) | $-571.4m (-41.3%) | $152.8m (376.2%) | -12.0% (-48.1%) | $-3.07 (-40.8%) |
| 2018 | $4.5b (-4.5%) | $-528.3m (7.6%) | $-21.5m (-114.1%) | -11.7% (3.2%) | $-2.82 (8.1%) |
| 2019 | $4.1b (-10.5%) | $-267.9m (49.3%) | $-87.7m (-307.6%) | -6.6% (43.4%) | $-1.44 (48.9%) |
| 2020 | $3.5b (-12.7%) | $82.0m (130.6%) | $19.8m (122.6%) | 2.3% (135.1%) | $0.45 (131.2%) |
| 2021 | $2.8b (-22.1%) | $-99.3m (-221.1%) | $-271.3m (-1471.7%) | -3.6% (-255.4%) | $-0.54 (-220.0%) |
| 2022 | $2.8b (2.4%) | $-238.4m (-140.1%) | $-193.6m (28.6%) | -8.4% (-134.4%) | $-1.25 (-131.5%) |
| 2023 | $3.0b (6.7%) | $-189.0m (20.7%) | $-70.3m (63.7%) | -6.3% (25.7%) | $-0.84 (32.8%) |
| 2024 | $3.1b (3.6%) | $-201.9m (-6.8%) | $-35.1m (50.1%) | -6.5% (-3.1%) | $-0.89 (-6.0%) |
| 2025 | $3.2b (2.2%) | $-262.7m (-30.1%) | $16.5m (147.1%) | -8.2% (-27.3%) | $-1.12 (-25.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.