Discounted Cash Flow

QXO Insulation, LLC

BLD · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.7b $72.6m $62.6m 4.2% $1.93
2017 $1.9b (9.4%) $158.1m (117.8%) $87.9m (40.3%) 8.3% (99.1%) $4.41 (128.5%)
2018 $2.4b (25.1%) $134.8m (-14.8%) $114.7m (30.5%) 5.7% (-31.9%) $3.86 (-12.5%)
2019 $2.6b (10.1%) $191.0m (41.7%) $226.2m (97.3%) 7.3% (28.8%) $5.65 (46.4%)
2020 $2.7b (3.6%) $247.0m (29.3%) $316.9m (40.1%) 9.1% (24.9%) $7.50 (32.7%)
2021 $3.5b (28.3%) $324.0m (31.2%) $347.5m (9.6%) 9.3% (2.3%) $9.88 (31.7%)
2022 $5.0b (43.7%) $556.0m (71.6%) $419.4m (20.7%) 11.1% (19.4%) $17.26 (74.7%)
2023 $5.2b (3.7%) $614.3m (10.5%) $785.4m (87.3%) 11.8% (6.5%) $19.44 (12.6%)
2024 $5.3b (2.6%) $622.6m (1.4%) $706.7m (-10.0%) 11.7% (-1.2%) $20.41 (5.0%)
2025 $5.4b (1.5%) $521.7m (-16.2%) $696.9m (-1.4%) 9.6% (-17.4%) $18.41 (-9.8%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model