Discounted Cash Flow

Builders Firstsource, Inc.

BLDR · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $6.4b $144.3m $115.6m 2.3% $1.30
2017 $7.0b (10.5%) $38.8m (-73.1%) $116.1m (0.5%) 0.6% (-75.7%) $0.34 (-73.8%)
2018 $7.7b (9.8%) $205.2m (429.1%) $181.4m (56.2%) 2.7% (381.8%) $1.79 (426.5%)
2019 $7.3b (-5.8%) $221.8m (8.1%) $391.2m (115.6%) 3.0% (14.7%) $1.92 (7.3%)
2020 $8.6b (17.6%) $313.5m (41.4%) $148.0m (-62.2%) 3.7% (20.2%) $2.69 (40.1%)
2021 $19.9b (132.4%) $1.7b (450.3%) $1.5b (924.2%) 8.7% (136.8%) $8.55 (217.8%)
2022 $22.7b (14.2%) $2.7b (59.3%) $3.3b (115.0%) 12.1% (39.5%) $16.98 (98.6%)
2023 $17.1b (-24.8%) $1.5b (-44.0%) $1.8b (-43.8%) 9.0% (-25.5%) $12.06 (-29.0%)
2024 $16.4b (-4.1%) $1.1b (-30.0%) $1.5b (-18.5%) 6.6% (-27.1%) $9.13 (-24.3%)
2025 $15.2b (-7.4%) $435.2m (-59.6%) $853.3m (-42.8%) 2.9% (-56.4%) $3.91 (-57.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model