Discounted Cash Flow
BP Plc. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $186.6b | $115.0m | $-6.0b | 0.1% | $0.05 |
| 2017 | $244.6b (31.1%) | $3.4b (2847.0%) | $2.4b (139.4%) | 1.4% (2148.4%) | $1.20 (2507.4%) |
| 2018 | $303.7b (24.2%) | $9.4b (176.9%) | $6.2b (160.3%) | 3.1% (122.9%) | $3.29 (173.7%) |
| 2019 | $282.6b (-7.0%) | $4.0b (-57.1%) | $10.4b (67.9%) | 1.4% (-53.9%) | $1.39 (-57.8%) |
| 2020 | $183.5b (-35.1%) | $-20.3b (-604.3%) | $-144.0m (-101.4%) | -11.1% (-876.8%) | $-7.03 (-606.6%) |
| 2021 | $164.2b (-10.5%) | $7.6b (137.3%) | $12.7b (8936.8%) | 4.6% (141.6%) | $2.63 (137.3%) |
| 2022 | $248.9b (51.6%) | $-2.5b (-132.9%) | $28.9b (126.8%) | -1.0% (-121.7%) | $-0.92 (-135.1%) |
| 2023 | $213.0b (-14.4%) | $15.2b (712.7%) | $17.8b (-38.5%) | 7.2% (815.9%) | $6.15 (767.5%) |
| 2024 | $194.6b (-8.6%) | $381.0m (-97.5%) | $12.0b (-32.4%) | 0.2% (-97.3%) | $0.16 (-97.3%) |
| 2025 | $192.5b (-1.1%) | $55.0m (-85.6%) | $11.3b (-6.1%) | 0.0% (-85.4%) | $0.02 (-85.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.