Discounted Cash Flow

Popular, Inc.

BPOP · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $216.7m $489.1m $2.06
2017 $107.7m (-50.3%) $572.8m (17.1%) $1.02 (-50.5%)
2018 $618.2m (474.1%) $767.0m (33.9%) $6.07 (495.1%)
2019 $671.1m (8.6%) $629.7m (-17.9%) $6.89 (13.5%)
2020 $506.6m (-24.5%) $618.7m (-1.7%) $5.88 (-14.7%)
2021 $934.9m (84.5%) $932.4m (50.7%) $11.49 (95.4%)
2022 $1.1b (17.9%) $910.7m (-2.3%) $14.65 (27.5%)
2023 $541.3m (-50.9%) $478.6m (-47.5%) $7.53 (-48.6%)
2024 $614.2m (13.5%) $461.3m (-3.6%) $8.56 (13.7%)
2025 $833.2m (35.6%) $681.0m (47.6%) $12.31 (43.8%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model