Discounted Cash Flow

Dutch Bros Inc.

BROS · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2019 $238.4m $28.4m $42.9m 11.9%
2020 $327.4m (37.4%) $0 (-100.0%) $13.0m (-69.8%) 0.0% (-100.0%)
2021 $497.9m (52.1%) $-12.9m $-38.1m (-393.4%) -2.6% $-0.28
2022 $739.0m (48.4%) $-4.8m (63.2%) $-128.0m (-236.2%) -0.6% (75.2%) $-0.09 (67.9%)
2023 $965.8m (30.7%) $1.7m (136.1%) $-88.5m (30.8%) 0.2% (127.7%) $0.03 (133.3%)
2024 $1.3b (32.6%) $35.3m (1952.3%) $24.7m (127.9%) 2.8% (1447.2%) $0.34 (1033.3%)
2025 $1.6b (27.9%) $79.8m (126.5%) $54.4m (120.3%) 4.9% (77.1%) $0.64 (88.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model