Discounted Cash Flow
Black Stone Minerals, L.P. LP
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $260.8m | $20.2m | $196.7m | 7.7% | — |
| 2017 | $429.7m (64.7%) | $157.2m (678.4%) | $281.9m (43.3%) | 36.6% (372.6%) | — |
| 2018 | $594.7m (38.4%) | $295.6m (88.1%) | $385.4m (36.7%) | 49.7% (35.9%) | — |
| 2019 | $492.8m (-17.1%) | $214.4m (-27.5%) | $412.7m (7.1%) | 43.5% (-12.5%) | — |
| 2020 | $296.6m (-39.8%) | $121.8m (-43.2%) | $281.8m (-31.7%) | 41.1% (-5.6%) | — |
| 2021 | $505.7m (70.5%) | $182.0m (49.4%) | $256.9m (-8.8%) | 36.0% (-12.4%) | — |
| 2022 | $784.3m (55.1%) | $476.5m (161.8%) | $412.4m (60.5%) | 60.8% (68.8%) | — |
| 2023 | $501.1m (-36.1%) | $422.5m (-11.3%) | $501.4m (21.6%) | 84.3% (38.8%) | — |
| 2024 | $439.4m (-12.3%) | $271.3m (-35.8%) | $274.0m (-45.4%) | 61.7% (-26.8%) | — |
| 2025 | $422.3m (-3.9%) | $270.5m (-0.3%) | $191.1m (-30.3%) | 64.0% (3.7%) | — |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.