Discounted Cash Flow
Burlington Stores, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $5.1b | $150.5m | — | 2.9% | $2.03 |
| 2017 | $5.6b (9.0%) | $215.9m (43.5%) | $414.9m | 3.9% (31.6%) | $3.06 (50.7%) |
| 2018 | $6.1b (8.8%) | $384.9m (78.3%) | $339.1m (-18.3%) | 6.3% (63.8%) | $5.64 (84.3%) |
| 2019 | $6.6b (9.2%) | $414.7m (7.8%) | $343.9m (1.4%) | 6.2% (-1.3%) | $6.21 (10.1%) |
| 2020 | $7.3b (9.3%) | $465.1m (12.1%) | $563.4m (63.8%) | 6.4% (2.6%) | $7.05 (13.5%) |
| 2021 | $5.8b (-20.8%) | $-216.5m (-146.5%) | $-54.1m (-109.6%) | -3.8% (-158.8%) | $-3.28 (-146.5%) |
| 2022 | $9.3b (61.8%) | $408.8m (288.8%) | $480.7m (988.5%) | 4.4% (216.7%) | $6.14 (287.2%) |
| 2023 | $8.7b (-6.7%) | $230.1m (-43.7%) | $149.0m (-69.0%) | 2.6% (-39.7%) | $3.51 (-42.8%) |
| 2024 | $9.7b (11.8%) | $339.6m (47.6%) | $376.1m (152.4%) | 3.5% (32.0%) | $5.25 (49.6%) |
| 2025 | $10.6b (9.3%) | $503.6m (48.3%) | $-17.0m (-104.5%) | 4.7% (35.6%) | $7.91 (50.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.