Discounted Cash Flow

Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.

BWFG · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income
Dividends

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $51.8m $12.3m $9.0m 23.9% $1.64
2017 $59.0m (14.0%) $13.8m (12.0%) $18.7m (108.4%) 23.4% (-1.7%) $1.80 (9.8%)
2018 $60.2m (2.1%) $17.4m (26.1%) $16.6m (-11.1%) 28.9% (23.5%) $2.23 (23.9%)
2019 $59.0m (-2.0%) $18.2m (4.5%) $6.0m (-64.0%) 30.9% (6.7%) $2.32 (4.0%)
2020 $57.7m (-2.2%) $5.9m (-67.6%) $-4.8m (-181.0%) 10.2% (-66.9%) $0.75 (-67.7%)
2021 $73.5m (27.4%) $26.6m (350.3%) $30.3m (724.9%) 36.2% (253.4%) $3.38 (350.7%)
2022 $97.8m (33.0%) $37.4m (40.8%) $77.7m (156.5%) 38.3% (5.9%) $4.84 (43.2%)
2023 $99.3m (1.6%) $36.7m (-2.0%) $29.9m (-61.5%) 36.9% (-3.6%) $4.71 (-2.7%)
2024 $87.0m (-12.4%) $9.8m (-73.4%) $29.3m (-1.9%) 11.2% (-69.6%) $1.24 (-73.7%)
2025 $108.3m (24.5%) $35.2m (260.3%) $27.1m (-7.5%) 32.5% (189.3%) $4.49 (262.1%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model