Discounted Cash Flow
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. REIT
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—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | — | $238.3m | $236.7m | — | $2.53 |
| 2017 | — | $217.6m (-8.7%) | $227.5m (-3.9%) | — | $2.27 (-10.3%) |
| 2018 | — | $285.1m (31.0%) | $290.0m (27.5%) | — | $2.50 (10.1%) |
| 2019 | — | $305.6m (7.2%) | $304.0m (4.8%) | — | $2.35 (-6.0%) |
| 2020 | — | $137.7m (-54.9%) | $336.6m (10.7%) | — | $0.97 (-58.7%) |
| 2021 | — | $419.2m (204.5%) | $382.5m (13.6%) | — | $2.77 (185.6%) |
| 2022 | $0 | $248.6m (-40.7%) | $396.8m (3.7%) | — | $1.46 (-47.3%) |
| 2023 | $0 | $246.6m (-0.8%) | $458.8m (15.6%) | — | $1.43 (-2.1%) |
| 2024 | $13.0m | $-204.1m (-182.8%) | $365.9m (-20.3%) | -1565.1% | $-1.17 (-181.8%) |
| 2025 | $185.0m (1318.6%) | $109.6m (153.7%) | $275.9m (-24.6%) | 59.2% (103.8%) | $0.64 (154.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.