Discounted Cash Flow

Boyd Gaming Corp.

BYD · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $2.2b $418.0m $142.5m 19.1% $3.65
2017 $2.4b (9.9%) $189.4m (-54.7%) $232.1m (62.8%) 7.9% (-58.8%) $1.65 (-54.8%)
2018 $2.6b (9.4%) $115.0m (-39.3%) $273.0m (17.6%) 4.4% (-44.5%) $1.01 (-38.8%)
2019 $3.3b (26.6%) $157.6m (37.0%) $341.4m (25.0%) 4.7% (8.2%) $1.39 (37.6%)
2020 $2.2b (-34.5%) $-134.7m (-185.5%) $114.0m (-66.6%) -6.2% (-230.5%) $-1.19 (-185.6%)
2021 $3.4b (54.7%) $463.8m (444.4%) $811.0m (611.4%) 13.8% (322.6%) $4.07 (442.0%)
2022 $3.6b (5.5%) $639.4m (37.8%) $707.0m (-12.8%) 18.0% (30.6%) $5.87 (44.2%)
2023 $3.7b (5.2%) $620.0m (-3.0%) $540.6m (-23.5%) 16.6% (-7.8%) $6.12 (4.3%)
2024 $3.9b (5.1%) $578.0m (-6.8%) $556.7m (3.0%) 14.7% (-11.3%) $6.19 (1.1%)
2025 $4.1b (4.1%) $1.8b (218.9%) $388.5m (-30.2%) 45.0% (206.3%) $22.56 (264.5%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model