Discounted Cash Flow
Baozun Inc. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $488.3m | $12.6m | $-1.3m | 2.6% | $0.08 |
| 2017 | $637.7m (30.6%) | $31.0m (144.8%) | $-9.9m (-642.5%) | 4.9% (87.5%) | $0.20 (150.0%) |
| 2018 | $784.4m (23.0%) | $39.9m (29.0%) | $-4.8m (51.9%) | 5.1% (4.9%) | $0.23 (15.0%) |
| 2019 | $1.0b (33.3%) | $-115.6k (-100.3%) | $4.5m (193.7%) | -0.0% (-100.2%) | $0.23 (0.0%) |
| 2020 | $1.4b (29.8%) | $63.0m (54644.4%) | $4.5m (1.0%) | 4.6% (42135.2%) | $0.35 (52.2%) |
| 2021 | $1.5b (8.7%) | $-32.5m (-151.6%) | $-8.9m (-296.4%) | -2.2% (-147.5%) | $-0.16 (-145.7%) |
| 2022 | $1.2b (-17.4%) | $-96.7m (-197.2%) | $52.2m (688.7%) | -7.9% (-259.8%) | $-0.52 (-225.0%) |
| 2023 | $1.2b (1.9%) | $-41.2m (57.4%) | $62.9m (20.5%) | -3.3% (58.2%) | $-0.22 (57.7%) |
| 2024 | $1.3b (4.0%) | $-27.4m (33.5%) | $12.3m (-80.4%) | -2.1% (36.0%) | $-0.14 (36.4%) |
| 2025 | $1.4b (10.2%) | $-35.8m (-30.7%) | $60.0m (387.1%) | -2.5% (-18.7%) | $-0.20 (-42.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.