Discounted Cash Flow
Cheesecake Factory Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $2.3b | $139.5m | $186.7m | 6.1% | $2.91 |
| 2017 | $2.3b (-0.7%) | $139.5m (0.0%) | $181.7m (-2.7%) | 6.2% (0.7%) | $3.35 (15.1%) |
| 2018 | $2.3b (0.0%) | $157.4m (12.8%) | $118.0m (-35.1%) | 7.0% (12.8%) | $1.06 (-68.4%) |
| 2019 | $2.3b (3.2%) | $99.0m (-37.1%) | $217.6m (84.3%) | 4.2% (-39.0%) | $2.90 (173.6%) |
| 2020 | $2.0b (-15.0%) | $-253.4m (-355.8%) | $-47.4m (-121.8%) | -12.8% (-400.9%) | $-6.32 (-317.9%) |
| 2021 | $2.9b (47.6%) | $72.4m (128.6%) | $146.1m (408.0%) | 2.5% (119.4%) | $1.03 (116.3%) |
| 2022 | $3.3b (12.8%) | $43.1m (-40.4%) | $49.5m (-66.1%) | 1.3% (-47.2%) | $0.87 (-15.5%) |
| 2023 | $3.3b (0.0%) | $43.1m (0.0%) | $49.5m (0.0%) | 1.3% (0.0%) | $0.87 (0.0%) |
| 2024 | $3.6b (8.4%) | $156.8m (263.6%) | $58.0m (17.3%) | 4.4% (235.3%) | $3.28 (277.0%) |
| 2025 | $3.8b (4.7%) | $148.4m (-5.3%) | $155.1m (167.2%) | 4.0% (-9.6%) | $3.17 (-3.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.