Discounted Cash Flow
Calix, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $458.8m | $-29.3m | $14.6m | -6.4% | $-0.56 |
| 2017 | $510.4m (11.2%) | $-85.6m (-192.5%) | $-70.8m (-585.6%) | -16.8% (-162.9%) | $-1.66 (-196.4%) |
| 2018 | $441.3m (-13.5%) | $-21.0m (75.5%) | $-6.9m (90.3%) | -4.8% (71.6%) | $-0.37 (77.7%) |
| 2019 | $424.3m (-3.8%) | $15.4m (173.2%) | $-8.7m (-26.7%) | 3.6% (176.1%) | $-0.32 (13.5%) |
| 2020 | $541.2m (27.6%) | $33.5m (117.9%) | $43.6m (601.1%) | 6.2% (70.8%) | $0.57 (278.1%) |
| 2021 | $679.4m (25.5%) | $238.4m (611.9%) | $46.3m (6.3%) | 35.1% (467.1%) | $3.77 (561.4%) |
| 2022 | $867.8m (27.7%) | $41.0m (-82.8%) | $13.1m (-71.7%) | 4.7% (-86.5%) | $0.63 (-83.3%) |
| 2023 | $1.0b (19.8%) | $29.3m (-28.5%) | $38.4m (192.7%) | 2.8% (-40.3%) | $0.44 (-30.2%) |
| 2024 | $831.5m (-20.0%) | $-29.7m (-201.4%) | $50.3m (31.1%) | -3.6% (-226.8%) | $-0.45 (-202.3%) |
| 2025 | $1.0b (20.3%) | $17.9m (160.1%) | $115.5m (129.4%) | 1.8% (150.0%) | $0.27 (160.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.