Discounted Cash Flow
Canaan Inc. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $1.3b | $55.6m | $11.6m | 4.3% | $19.06 |
| 2018 | $2.7b (106.9%) | $18.1m (-67.4%) | $-5.6m (-147.9%) | 0.7% (-84.3%) | $6.23 (-67.3%) |
| 2019 | $204.3m (-92.4%) | $-22.0m (-221.4%) | $-41.6m (-647.0%) | -10.8% (-1706.8%) | $-6.90 (-210.8%) |
| 2020 | $68.6m (-66.4%) | $-4.9m (77.8%) | $6.2m (114.9%) | -7.1% (33.9%) | $-1.41 (79.6%) |
| 2021 | $782.5m (1040.5%) | $46.5m (1052.3%) | $212.1m (3314.7%) | 5.9% (183.5%) | $12.45 (983.0%) |
| 2022 | $634.9m (-18.9%) | $10.4m (-77.5%) | $10.4m (-95.1%) | 1.6% (-72.3%) | $2.75 (-77.9%) |
| 2023 | $211.5m (-66.7%) | $-61.3m (-687.3%) | $-18.8m (-280.0%) | -29.0% (-1863.3%) | $-16.06 (-684.0%) |
| 2024 | $269.3m (27.4%) | $-37.0m (39.7%) | $-32.3m (-72.2%) | -13.7% (52.6%) | $-6.13 (61.8%) |
| 2025 | $529.7m (96.7%) | $-31.1m (15.8%) | $-43.8m (-35.4%) | -5.9% (57.2%) | $-2.99 (51.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.