Discounted Cash Flow
Cango Inc. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $1.1b | $69.3m | $85.8m | 6.6% | — |
| 2018 | $1.1b (3.7%) | $58.6m (-15.5%) | $25.2m (-70.6%) | 5.4% (-18.5%) | — |
| 2019 | $1.4b (31.9%) | $72.2m (23.2%) | $56.2m (122.9%) | 5.0% (-6.6%) | — |
| 2020 | $2.1b (42.5%) | $554.0m (667.3%) | $-92.8m (-265.0%) | 27.0% (438.4%) | — |
| 2021 | $3.9b (91.1%) | $1.8m (-99.7%) | $-62.6m (32.5%) | 0.0% (-99.8%) | — |
| 2022 | $2.0b (-49.5%) | $-129.4m (-7205.1%) | $-84.7m (-35.1%) | -6.5% (-14169.5%) | — |
| 2023 | $1.7b (-14.1%) | $-960 (100.0%) | $814.0k (101.0%) | -0.0% (100.0%) | $0.01 |
| 2024 | $804.5m (-52.7%) | $44.6m (4640824.6%) | $-11.9m (-1559.2%) | 5.5% (9817686.8%) | $0.02 (100.0%) |
| 2025 | $688.1m (-14.5%) | $-66.9m (-250.1%) | $-15.5m (-30.6%) | -9.7% (-275.5%) | $-1.60 (-8100.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.