Discounted Cash Flow
Cargurus, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $198.1m | $6.5m | $14.2m | 3.3% | $-0.58 |
| 2017 | $316.9m (59.9%) | $13.2m (103.2%) | $20.5m (45.0%) | 4.2% (27.0%) | $0.13 (122.4%) |
| 2018 | $454.1m (43.3%) | $65.2m (393.7%) | $45.8m (122.9%) | 14.4% (244.5%) | $0.60 (361.5%) |
| 2019 | $588.9m (29.7%) | $42.1m (-35.3%) | $58.9m (28.7%) | 7.2% (-50.1%) | $0.38 (-36.7%) |
| 2020 | $551.5m (-6.4%) | $77.6m (84.0%) | $153.8m (161.1%) | 14.1% (96.5%) | $0.69 (81.6%) |
| 2021 | $951.4m (72.5%) | $109.2m (40.9%) | $90.6m (-41.1%) | 11.5% (-18.4%) | $0.00 (-100.0%) |
| 2022 | $1.7b (74.0%) | $84.4m (-22.8%) | $250.2m (176.2%) | 5.1% (-55.6%) | $1.64 |
| 2023 | $914.2m (-44.8%) | $36.9m (-56.2%) | $100.0m (-60.0%) | 4.0% (-20.8%) | $0.27 (-83.5%) |
| 2024 | $894.4m (-2.2%) | $21.0m (-43.2%) | $180.3m (80.4%) | 2.3% (-42.0%) | $0.20 (-25.9%) |
| 2025 | $907.0m (1.4%) | $155.9m (643.4%) | $288.9m (60.2%) | 17.2% (633.1%) | $1.58 (690.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.